Scaling of the distribution of price fluctuations of individual companies

Citation
V. Plerou et al., Scaling of the distribution of price fluctuations of individual companies, PHYS REV E, 60(6), 1999, pp. 6519-6529
Citations number
31
Categorie Soggetti
Physics
Journal title
PHYSICAL REVIEW E
ISSN journal
1063651X → ACNP
Volume
60
Issue
6
Year of publication
1999
Part
A
Pages
6519 - 6529
Database
ISI
SICI code
1063-651X(199912)60:6<6519:SOTDOP>2.0.ZU;2-K
Abstract
We present a phenomenological study of stock price fluctuations of individu al companies. We systematically analyze two different databases covering se curities from the three major U.S. stock markets: (a) the New York Stock Ex change, (b) the American Stock Exchange, and (c) the National Association o f Securities Dealers Automated Quotation stock market. Specifically, we con sider (i) the trades and quotes database, for which we analyze 40 million r ecords for 1000 U.S. companies for the 2-yr period 1994-95; and (ii) the Ce nter for Research and Security Prices database, for which we analyze 35 mil lion daily records for approximately 16000 companies in the 35-yr period 19 62-96. We study the probability distribution of returns over varying time s cales Delta t, where Delta t varies by a factor of approximate to 10(5), fr om 5 min up to approximate to 4 yr. For time scales from 5 min up to approx imately 16 days, we find that the tails of the distributions can be well de scribed by a power-law decay, characterized by an exponent 2.5<proportional to<4, well outside the stable Levy regime 0<alpha<2. For time scales Delta t much greater than(Delta t)(x)approximate to 16 days, we observe results consistent with a slow convergence to Gaussian behavior. We also analyze th e role of cross correlations between the returns of different companies and relate these correlations to the distribution of returns for market indice s. [S1063-651X(99)11412-0].