Despite the existence of flank waveguide modes which are Kelvin-Helmholtz u
nstable, the flanks of the terrestrial magnetosphere are observed to be rem
arkably stable and free of nonlinear disturbances. We suggest the explanati
on may be found in a more detailed stability analysis which shows that loca
lized disturbances are convectively unstable in the Earth's rest frame. Thi
s means that as a wave packet grows and broadens, it also propagates at a s
ufficiently high speed so it is convected away leaving ultimately no distur
bance at any fixed point in space (as t --> infinity). We estimate that the
magnetopause surface wave has an e-folding length of the order of an Earth
radius and soon becomes nonlinear, resulting in a magnetopause boundary la
yer [e.g., Manuel and Samson, 1993]. In contrast, the waveguide modes (whic
h penetrate deep into the body of the magnetosphere) should grow by no more
than a factor of about e as they propagate around the flanks to the tail.
This also explains why theorists have had such success at modeling basic UL
F waveguide processes with linear theory and why nonlinear waves in, or dis
ruptions to, the body of the magnetospheric flanks are not observed: Wavepa
ckets may grow by only a small amount as they propagate into the tail. Ulti
mately, they leave the flank undisturbed and with the appearance of stabili
ty, although they are actually convectively unstable.