R. Westaway, Comment on "A new intracontinental transcurrent structure: the Central Anatolian Fault Zone, Turkey" by A. Kocyigit and A. Beyhan, TECTONOPHYS, 314(4), 1999, pp. 469-479
Kocyigit and Beyhan have described the Central Anatolian Fault Zone (CAFZ),
as a > 700 km long active strike-slip fault zone in Turkey. If their inter
pretation is correct, then several major Turkish cities are vulnerable to a
significant earthquake hazard which was previously unsuspected, and the ex
isting close agreement between observed slip rates on major strike-slip fau
lts in Turkey and predictions from global plate motion models is spurious.
Whether the CAFZ is real, or based on mistaken interpretations of diverse e
vidence, is thus a matter of some importance. The aim of this comment is to
describe difficulties which arise over the published interpretation of the
CAFZ, with the aim of encouraging either a retraction or a more thorough p
resentation of the available evidence in support of the existence of a majo
r active fault zone in the required position. Three main difficulties are d
iscussed in detail. First. strands of the CAFZ have been interpreted in man
y localities where previous detailed studies have either found no evidence
of faulting or have reported ancient faults which have been described as no
longer active. Second, many other features which previous studies have exp
lained satisfactorily are reinterpreted as consequences of active strike-sl
ip faulting. Finally? no observational evidence is presented for the slip r
ate or the timing of the start of the alleged present phase of slip on the
CAFZ. The suggestion that it has slipped by 24 km during this present phase
of activity is inadequately documented and conflicts with other evidence.
(C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.