J. Gardeazabal et al., TESTING THE CANONICAL MODEL OF EXCHANGE-RATES WITH UNOBSERVABLE FUNDAMENTALS, International economic review, 38(2), 1997, pp. 389-404
In this paper we test the asset market approach or canonical model of
exchange rates. We treat exchange rate fundamentals as unobservable. T
he empirical results do not reject the canonical model, and therefore
the embedded rational expectations assumption, in sharp contrast with
previous empirical evidence. We also find evidence of feedback from th
e exchange rate to fundamentals, which is normally omitted in the theo
retical literature.