According to official census returns from Roman Egypt (first to third
centuries CE) preserved on papyrus, 23.5% of all documented marriages
in the Arsinoites district in the Fayum (n = 102) were between brother
s and sisters. In the second century CE, the rates were 37% in the cit
y of Arsinoe and 18.9% in the surrounding villages. Documented pedigre
es suggest a minimum mean level of inbreeding equivalent to a coeffici
ent of inbreeding of 0.0975 in second century CE Arsinoe. Undocumented
sources of inbreeding and an estimate based on the frequency of close
-kin unions (corrected downwards to 30% for Arsinoe) indicate a mean c
oefficient of inbreeding of F = 0.15-0.20 in Arsinoe and of F = 0.10-0
.15 in the villages at the end of the second century CE. These values
are several times as high as any other documented levels of inbreeding
. A schematic estimate of inbreeding depression in the offspring of fu
ll sibling couples indicates that fertility in these families had to b
e 20-50% above average to attain reproduction at replacement level. In
the absence of information on the amount of genetic load in this popu
lation, this estimate may be too high.