Objective: To identify risk factors for onset of panic attacks in adolescen
ts, a prospective cohort design was used to evaluate the following risk fac
tors: negative affectivity, female sex, anxiety sensitivity, and childhood
separation anxiety disorder. These risk factors were also evaluated for pre
dicting onset of major depression to test their specificity. Method: The sa
mple consisted of 2,365 high school students assessed over a 4-year period.
Assessments included self-report questionnaires and structured clinical in
terviews. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate risk. Resul
ts: Consistent with previous studies, prior major depression predicted onse
t of panic attacks and a history of panic attacks predicted onset of major
depression. After adjusting for the effects of prior major depression, nega
tive affectivity and anxiety sensitivity, but not female sex or childhood s
eparation anxiety disorder, predicted onset of 4-symptom panic attacks. How
ever, female sex and negative affectivity but not anxiety sensitivity or ch
ildhood separation anxiety disorder predicted onset of major depression aft
er adjustment for the effects of prior panic attacks. Conclusion: Negative
affectivity appears to be a nonspecific risk factor for panic attacks and m
ajor depression, whereas anxiety sensitivity appears to be a specific facto
r that increases the risk for 4-symptom panic attacks in adolescents.