A trade-off analysis of routine newborn circumcision

Background. The risks associated with newborn circumcision have not been as extensively evaluated as the benefits. Objectives. The goals of this study were threefold: 1) to derive a populati on-based complication rate for newborn circumcision; 2) to calculate the nu mber needed to harm for newborn circumcision based on this rate; and 3) to establish trade-offs based on our complication rates and published estimate s of the benefits of circumcision including the prevention of urinary tract infections and penile cancer. Methods. Using the Comprehensive Hospital Abstract Reporting System for Was hington State, we retrospectively examined routine newborn circumcisions pe rformed over 9 years (1987-1996). We used International Classification of D iseases, Ninth Revision codes to identify both circumcisions and complicati ons and limited our analyses to children without other surgical procedures performed during their initial birth hospitalization. Results. Of 354 297 male infants born during the study period, 130 475 (37% ) were circumcised during their newborn stay. Overall 287 (.2%) of circumci sed children and 33 (.01%) of uncircumcised children had complications pote ntially associated with circumcision coded as a discharge diagnosis. Based on our findings, a complication can be expected in 1 out every 476 circumci sions. Six urinary tract infections can be prevented for every complication endured and almost 2 complications can be expected for every case of penil e cancer prevented. Conclusions. Circumcision remains a relatively safe procedure. However, for some parents, the risks we report may outweigh the potential benefits. Thi s information may help parents seeking guidance to make an informed decisio n.