A statistical model of self-organization in a generic class of one-dimensio
nal nonlinear Schrodinger (NLS) equations on a bounded interval is develope
d. The main prediction of this model is that the statistically preferred st
ate for such equations consists of a deterministic coherent structure coupl
ed with fine-scale, random fluctuations, or radiation. The model is derived
from equilibrium statistical mechanics by using a mean-field approximation
of the conserved Hamiltonian and particle number (L-2 norm squared) for fi
nite-dimensional spectral truncations of the NLS dynamics. The continuum li
mits of these approximated statistical equilibrium ensembles on finite-dime
nsional phase spaces are analyzed, holding the energy and particle number a
t fixed, finite values. The analysis shows that the coherent structure mini
mizes total energy for a given value of particle number and hence is a solu
tion to the NLS ground state equation, and that the remaining energy reside
s in Gaussian fluctuations equipartitioned over wave numbers. Some results
of direct numerical integration of the NLS equation are included to validat
e empirically these properties of the most probable states for the statisti
cal model. Moreover, a theoretical justification of the mean-field approxim
ation is given, in which the approximate ensembles are shown to concentrate
on the associated microcanonical ensemble in the continuum limit. (C) 2000
Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.