A. Viallefont et Jl. Auget, Using capture-recapture models to estimate transition rates between statesin interval-censored data, REV EPIDEM, 47(6), 1999, pp. 627-634
We introduce capture-recapture models, survival models developed in animal
population biology to estimate survival / transition rates between sites wi
thin a population. We then show how to use these models in epidemiology or
clinical research, to estimate survival / transition rates between stages o
f a disease (e.g. cancer, AIDS...), when patients enter a longitudinal stud
y with imperfect follow-up resulting in interval-censoring. This method yie
lds unbiased estimates, since the compliance (defined here as the probabili
ty of visiting the doctor. at the planned date) is modelled jointly. We app
ly the method to cancel. data, and show that "time" (elapsed since entry of
a patient in the study) affects compliance in these data.