Molecular epidemiologic studies of infectious pathogens 1) generate genetic
patterns from a collection of microorganisms, 2) compare the degree of sim
ilarity among these patterns, and 3) infer from these similarities infectio
us disease transmission patterns. The authors propose a quantitative approa
ch using genetic distances to study the degree of similarity between patter
ns. Benefits of such genetic distance calculations are illustrated by an an
alysis of standard DNA fingerprints of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in San Fr
ancisco collected during the period 1991-1997. Graphical representation of
genetic distances can assist in determining if the disappearance of a speci
fic pattern in a community is due to interruption of transmission or ongoin
g evolution of the microorganism's fingerprint. Genetic distances can also
compensate for varying information content derived by DNA fingerprints of c
ontrasting pattern complexity. To study demographic and clinical correlates
of transmission, the authors calculated the smallest genetic distance from
each patient sample to all other samples. With correlation of genetic dist
ances and nearest genetic distances with previously understood notions of t
he epidemiology of M, tuberculosis in San Francisco, factors influencing tr
ansmission are investigated.