We present a synthesis of theoretical results concerning the probability di
stribution of the concentration of a passive tracer subject to both diffusi
on and to advection by a spatially smooth time-dependent flow. The freely d
ecaying case is contrasted with the equilibrium case. A computationally eff
icient model of advection-diffusion on a lattice is introduced, and used to
test and probe the limits of the theoretical ideas. It is shown that the p
robability distribution for the freely decaying case has fat tails, which h
ave slower than exponential decay. The additively forced case has a Gaussia
n core and exponential tails, in full conformance with prior theoretical ex
pectations. An analysis of the magnitude and implications of temporal fluct
uations of the conditional diffusion and dissipation is presented, showing
the importance of these fluctuations in governing the shape of the tails. S
ome results concerning the probability distribution of dissipation, and con
cerning the spatial scaling properties of concentration fluctuation, are al
so presented. Though the lattice model is applied only to smooth flow in th
e present work, it is readily applicable to problems involving rough flow,
and to chemically reacting tracers. (C) 2000 American Institute of Physics.
[S1054-1500(00)02201-1].