In an age of tighter government regulation, many individuals and businesses
are distorting our notion of the size of the Australian economy by activel
y participating in the underground economy. The consequences are clear: pol
icy makers have imperfect knowledge on the state of economic affairs. Altho
ugh there exists considerable international literature on the size of the u
nderground economy, academics and public officials alike appear to have pai
d little attention to the extent of illicit economic behaviour in Australia
. The aim of this paper is to provide the first known time-series estimate
of the size of the Australian underground economy and to illustrate that it
s existence has implications far the nature of the business cycle in Austra
lia.