Objective. Nonrandomized comparisons of the incidence of HIV and hepatitis
B and C between injection drug users (IDUs) who do and do not attend volunt
ary needle-exchange programs may be subject to bias. To explore possible so
urces of bias, we examined characteristics associated with voluntarily begi
nning or ceasing to participate in the Seattle needle exchange.
Methods. In a cohort of 2,879 IDUs, a standardized questionnaire measured c
haracteristics present at enrollment. We examined the relation of these cha
racteristics to the proportion of IDUs who began to use the program during
the ensuing 12-month follow-up period and to the proportion of current exch
angers who dropped out during that period of time.
Results. Of the 494 never-exchangers at baseline, 32% attended the exchange
program during follow-up; those who reported sharing syringes or who were
homeless at enrollment were more likely to become new exchange users (adjus
ted risk ratio [ARR] for becoming an exchange user = 1.8 for those who shar
ed syringes, and ARR = 2.2 for those who were homeless). Of 1,274 current e
xchangers, 16% stopped using the exchange during followup, with daily injec
tors (ARR = 0.6) and those who reported backloading (ARR = 0.6) being relat
ively less likely to drop out of the exchange.
Conclusions. The analysis suggests that IDUs participating in needle-exchan
ge programs ata given point in time may include a particularly high proport
ion of those injectors whose pattern of drug use puts them at elevated risk
of blood-borne viral infections.