This prognostic study of primary immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy focused
on chronic irreversible glomerular sclerosis and interstitial fibrosis, ba
sed on the premise that this disease is characterized by a protracted and,
for many, progressive course. We used a chronicity-based histological gradi
ng system to assess the biopsy specimens of 126 adults with IgA nephropathy
over a median follow-up of 10 years. Our grading system included a glomeru
lar grading (GG) of 1 to 3 based on the extent of glomerular sclerosis, a t
ubulointerstitial grading (TIG) of 1 to 3 based on the degree of tubular lo
ss or interstitial fibrosis, and the evaluation of hyaline arterioloscleros
is (HA). These three histological parameters were correlated with each othe
r and with serum creatinine level, degree of proteinuria, and blood pressur
e at the time of renal biopsy. Univariate analysis showed that these three
histological and three clinical parameters were significantly correlated wi
th renal survival. By multivariate analysis using the Cox regression model,
GG, serum creatinine level, and degree of proteinuria represented independ
ent prognostic factors of renal survival. For a subset of patients at a rel
atively early stage of disease with a serum creatinine level less than 130
mu mol/L at the time of biopsy, all three histological features and degree
of proteinuria were significantly correlated with renal survival, and GG wa
s the only independent prognostic factor for renal outcome. This study show
s that glomerular sclerosis represents the most important prognostic factor
in adult patients with primary IgA nephropathy and has a strong predictive
value, Our chronicity-based histological grading system not only correlate
s well with the natural history of IgA nephropathy but is also reproducible
and relatively simple to apply. (C) 2000 by the National Kidney Foundation
, Inc.