The encounter probability for mountain slope hazards

Authors
Citation
Dm. Mcclung, The encounter probability for mountain slope hazards, CAN GEOTECH, 36(6), 1999, pp. 1195-1196
Citations number
6
Categorie Soggetti
Civil Engineering
Journal title
CANADIAN GEOTECHNICAL JOURNAL
ISSN journal
00083674 → ACNP
Volume
36
Issue
6
Year of publication
1999
Pages
1195 - 1196
Database
ISI
SICI code
0008-3674(1999)36:6<1195:TEPFMS>2.0.ZU;2-F
Abstract
In typical risk calculations for the mountain slope hazards one wishes to c alculate the encounter probability: the probability of facilities or vehicl es being hit at least once when exposed for a finite time period L with eve nts having a return period T at a location. In this note, it is assumed tha t the events are rare, independent, and discrete, with arrival according to a binomial (or Bernoulli) distribution or a Poisson process. The constrain ts on the formulations for the processes are provided and it is shown that for typical applications either assumption (binomial or Poisson process) ma y be used in practice almost interchangeably.