E. Kebebew et al., Medullary thyroid carcinoma - Clinical characteristics, treatment, prognostic factors, and a comparison of staging systems, CANCER, 88(5), 2000, pp. 1139-1148
BACKGROUND. The clinical courses of patients with medullary thyroid carcino
ma (MTC) vary, and a number of prognostic factors have been studied, but th
e significance of some of these factors remains controversial.
METHODS. The study group consisted of 104 patients with MTC or C-celI hyper
plasia managed at the hospitals of the University of California, San Franci
sco, between January 1960 and December 1998. Patients were classified as ha
ving sporadic MTC, familial non-multiple endocrine neoplasia (MEN) MTC, MEN
2A, or MEN 2B. The TNM, European Organization for Research and Treatment o
f Cancer (EORTC), National Thyroid Cancer Treatment Cooperative Study (NTCT
CS), and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) extent-of-disea
se stages were determined for each patient. The predictive values of these
staging or prognostic scoring systems were compared by calculating the prop
ortion of variance explained (PVE) for each system.
RESULTS. Fifty-six percent of the patients had sporadic MTC, 22% had famili
al MTC, 15% had MEN 2A, and 7% had MEN 2B. The overall average age at diagn
osis was 38 years, and patients with sporadic MTC presented at an older age
(P < 0.05). Thirty-two percent of the patients with hereditary MTC were di
agnosed by screening (genetic and/or biochemical). These patients had a low
er incidence of cervical lymph node metastasis (P < 0.05) and 94.7% were cu
red at last follow-up (P < 0.0001) compared with patients not screened. Pat
ients with sporadic MTC who had systemic symptoms (diarrhea, bone pain, or
flushing) had widely metastatic MTC and 33.3% of those patients died within
5 years. Overall, 49.4% of the patients were cured, 12.3% had recurrent MT
C, and 38.3% had persistent MTC. The mean follow-up time was 8.6 years (med
ian, 5.0 years) with 10.7% (n=11) and 13.5% (n=14) cause specific mortality
at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Patients with persistent or recurrent MTC
who died of MTC lived for an average of 3.6 years (ranging from 1 month to
23.7 years). Patients who had total or subtotal thyroidectomy were less li
kely to have persistent or recurrent MTC (P < 0.05), and patients who had t
otal thyroidectomy with cervical lymph node clearance required fewer reoper
ations for persistent or recurrent MTC (P < 0.05) than patients who underwe
nt lesser procedures. In univariate analysis, age, gender, clinical present
ation, TNM stage, sporadic/hereditary MTC, distant metastasis, and extent o
f thyroidectomy were significant prognostic factors. Only age and stage, ho
wever, remained independent prognostic factors in multivariate analysis. Th
e TNM, EORTC, NTCTCS, and SEER staging systems were all accurate predictors
of survival, but the EORTC prognostic scoring system had the highest PVE i
n this cohort
CONCLUSIONS. screening for MTC and early treatment (total thyroidectomy wit
h central neck lymph node clearance) had nearly a 100% cure rate. Patients
with postoperative hypercalcitoninemia without clinical or radiologic evide
nce of residual tumor after apparently curative surgery may enjoy long term
survival but have occult MTC. Only patient age at presentation and TNM sta
ge were independent predictors of survival. The EORTC criteria, which inclu
ded the greatest number of significant prognostic factors in our cohort, ha
d the highest predictive value. (C) 2000 American Cancer Society.