Disease progression in children acquiring HIV infection vertically from the
ir mothers is more rapid in developing countries compared with developed co
untries. The probability of death by 12 months in sub-Saharan Africa ranges
from 0.23 to 0.35, and by 5 years is 0.57-0.68. Data from Europe in the er
a before highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART) yielded probabilitie
s of 0.1 and 0.2, respectively. Confirming the diagnosis can be difficult i
n resource-limited settings. Existing clinical case definitions are useful
epidemiologically, but of low positive-predictive value in individual child
ren. Priorities for research into management issues include nutrition (infa
nt feeding, vitamin A and micronutrient supplementation), prophylaxis again
st Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP), and bacterial infections, case man
agement of persistent diarrhoea, diagnosis/prevention/management of tubercu
losis in children and prevention of sexual transmission in adolescents.