Although hepatitis B is an ancient disease, most of the advances in our kno
wledge of its epidemiology, prevention, pathogenesis, natural history and t
reatment were made in the last 30 years. The prospect of global eradication
of HBV infection within the next 50 years is technologically possible but
implementation of worldwide vaccination against hepatitis B will require si
gnificantly more time to overcome the social and economic hurdles. While th
ere is reasonable optimism that HBV infection will be eradicated, there are
currently 300 million HBV carriers worldwide who are at risk of dying from
liver failure or hepatocellular carcinoma, and there will continue to be n
ew cases of HBV infection for many more years. Thus, HBV infection cannot b
e considered to be a health problem of the past. The focus of hepatitis B r
esearch at the turn of the millenium will be the development of more effect
ive therapies that can be applied to all patients with chronic HBV infectio
n. These treatments need to be effective in inhibiting HBV DNA synthesis an
d in eliminating ccc DNA. They may involve monotherapy with more potent ant
iviral agents that do not induce resistance, but are more likely to require
a combination of antiviral agents or antiviral and immunomodulatory agents
. These treatments must be safe, convenient to administer, and affordable.
It is likely that new therapies with increasing efficacy will be available
in the next one to two decades and combination therapy will be used widely
by 2010. These treatments will induce sustained remission in the majority o
f patients who can afford them but provision of treatment to all those who
need them will be more difficult. Other areas of hepatitis B that need to b
e addressed are the prevalence of occult HBV infection, the changing epidem
iology and clinical significance of HBV variants, in particular the A1896 m
utant, and the mechanisms of immune clearance and pathogenesis.