Dj. Adsit et M. London, EFFECTS OF HYPOTHESIS GENERATION ON HYPOTHESIS-TESTING IN RULE-DISCOVERY TASKS, The Journal of general psychology, 124(1), 1997, pp. 19-34
The extent to which hypothesis generation affects hypothesis-testing p
erformance was examined in a rule-discovery task. One hundred eight un
dergraduates enrolled in introductory psychology were randomly assigne
d to conditions in which the participants, experimenter, other partici
pants, or no one generated hypotheses before the participants were tes
ted on three different tasks. Hypothesis-testing performance in the ex
perimenter-supplied condition was significantly higher than in the oth
er conditions, suggesting that generating a list of hypotheses does no
t in itself improve hypothesis-testing performance. Among participants
who generated hypotheses, those who generated the correct hypothesis
before beginning the testing were more likely to solve the problem, su
ggesting that poor hypothesis-generation abilities might be a barrier
to hypothesis-testing performance.