How should judges choose doctrines of statutory interpretation? Judges expl
icitly or implicitly choose interpretive doctrines-canons of construction,
rules governing the admissibility and weight of extrinsic sources, and rule
s about the force of statutory precedent. Interpretive choice presupposes b
oth a theory of statutes' political authority and an empirical assessment o
f the competence of interpreters, the benefits of rules and standards, and
the interaction of lawmaking institutions. In this Article, Professor Adria
n Vermeule notes that all this is widely accepted, but argues that scholars
hip to date has overlooked the central dilemma of interpretive choice: The
empirical assessments needed to translate theories of statutes' authority i
nto operative doctrine frequently exceed the judiciary's capacity. Many of
the relevant questions are empirical but unanswerable, at least at acceptab
le cost; moreover, judges can neither conduct necessary experiments nor suc
cessfully assimilate information provided by outside institutions. Judges f
aced with problems of interpretive choice must therefore apply standard dec
isionmaking strategies of choice under irreducible empirical uncertainty, s
trategies derived from decision theory, rhetoric, and other disciplines. Th
is Article applies these strategies to three standard doctrinal problems-th
e admissibility of legislative history, the choice of interpretive canons,
and the force of statutory stare decisis. It concludes that judges should e
xclude legislative history, should pick between canons rather than debating
their relative merits, and should observe an absolute rule of statutory st
are decisis. In short, judges should embrace a formalist approach to statut
ory interpretation, one that uses a minimalist set of cheap and inflexible
interpretive sources.