This paper aims to report changes in hearing sensitivity over five years in
a rural population aged 31-50 years and to identify risk factors associate
d with hearing deterioration. The study is prospective and based on data fr
om pure tone audiometry and questionnaires in the Ebeltoft Health Promotion
Project in Denmark. A representative sample of 705 subjects had a complete
follow-up, including audiometry. The median hearing deterioration was 2.5
dB at 3-4 kHz and 0 dB at 0.5-2 kHz. There was a high degree of individual
variability in deterioration. The overall deterioration of hearing sensitiv
ity of the population was largely predicted from the cross-sectional findin
gs reported previously. In the analysis of risk factors, hearing deteriorat
ion was defined as an average deterioration 10 dB/5 years at 3-4 kHz in at
least one ear. Deterioration was present in 23.5% of the sample. The 41-50-
year-olds had a relative risk of deterioration of 1.32 (95% CI 1.01-1.73) c
ompared with the 31-40-year-olds. Males had a relative risk of 1.35 (1.03-1
.76) compared with females. The risk was not significantly elevated for a r
ange of other possible risk factors confirmed by logistic regression analys
is. In conclusion, deterioration in hearing sensitivity on population level
can be predicted on the basis of cross-sectional findings. Hearing sensiti
vity deteriorated mainly at 3-4 kHz. The deterioration increased with age a
nd was higher in males than in females. Other risk factors were not found.
The present study does not support the hypothesis that hypertension or toba
cco smoking is associated with deterioration in hearing.