Performance evaluation of broadband networks requires statistical analysis
and modeling of the actual network traffic. Since multimedia services, and
especially variable bit rate (VBR) MPEG-coded video streams are expected to
be a major traffic component carried by these networks, modeling of such s
ervices and accurate estimation of network resources are crucial for proper
network design and congestion-control mechanisms that can guarantee the ne
gotiated quality of service at a minimum cost. The layer modeling of MPEG-1
coded video streams and statistical analysis of their traffic characterist
ics at each layer is proposed in this paper, along with traffic models capa
ble of estimating the network resources over asynchronous transfer mode (AT
M) links. First, based on the properties of the entire MPEG-1 sequence (fra
me layer signal), a model (Model A) is presented by correlating three stoch
astic processes in discrete time (autoregressive models), each of which cor
responds to the three types of frames of the MPEG encoder (I, P, and B fram
es). To simplify the traffic Model A and to reduce the required number of p
arameters, we study the MPEG stream at a higher layer by considering a sign
al, which expresses the average properties of I, P, and B frames over a gro
up of picture (GOP) period. However, models on this layer cannot accurately
estimate the network resources, especially in multiplexing schemes. For th
is reason, an intermediate layer is introduced, which exploits and efficien
tly combines information of both the aforementioned layers, producing a mod
el (Model B), which requires much smaller number of parameters than Model A
and simultaneously provides satisfactory results as far as the network res
ources are concerned. Evaluation of the validity of the proposed models is
performed through experimental studies and computer simulations, using seve
ral long duration VER MPEG-1 coded sequences, different from that used in m
odeling. The results indicate that both Models A and B are good estimators
of video traffic behavior over ATM links at a wide range of utilization.