Multi-expert operational risk management

Citation
Geg. Beroggi et Wa. Wallace, Multi-expert operational risk management, IEEE SYST C, 30(1), 2000, pp. 32-44
Citations number
20
Categorie Soggetti
AI Robotics and Automatic Control
Journal title
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS MAN AND CYBERNETICS PART C-APPLICATIONS AND REVIEWS
ISSN journal
10946977 → ACNP
Volume
30
Issue
1
Year of publication
2000
Pages
32 - 44
Database
ISI
SICI code
1094-6977(200002)30:1<32:MORM>2.0.ZU;2-F
Abstract
Operational risk management is the process of monitoring, evaluating, and c hanging courses of actions with potential detrimental consequences in real time. in this paper, we extend the decision models proposed in the Literatu re for individual risk managers to account for situations,where multiple ri sk managers are involved. For this purpose, two dynamic and adaptive prefer ence aggregation models for cardinal and ordinal assessments are proposed a nd discussed, The mechanical aspects of the models are then validated using held data collected from experienced operational risk managers in an indiv idual-expert setting. Sensitivity analysis indicates that the models have e nough flexibility to be adapted to account for behavioral considerations. T he paper closes with a research agenda.