A series of plane strain centrifuge model tests of single tunnels in modera
tely stiff clay has been conducted at City University, London. Ground movem
ents were measured using conventional displacement transducers at the groun
d surface and by digital image-processing techniques below ground level. Th
e relatively simple tests are shown to result in ground movements which are
consistent with field measurements, but the tests produced considerably mo
re high-quality data, which have been analysed to improve predictions of bo
th surface and subsurface movements in the plane transverse to a tunnel in
clay. The measured data are assessed against commonly used empirical predic
tive techniques, indicating some deviations from current practice. A proced
ure for predicting horizontal movements as a function of the vertical settl
ement profile is suggested.