For histological subtyping of anal squamous carcinomas the WHO advocates a
six-way subdivision, but it has been suspected that the six types cannot be
reliably discriminated in practice. We conducted a blinded study involving
slides from 103 consecutive cases, each slide being examined by three expe
rts (from Denmark, Australia and UK) on two occasions at least 8 months apa
rt. Agreement on subtypes was low: 72% between rounds within pathologist, 6
1% between pathologists. Even for the commonest, and most stably diagnosed,
type, viz. large-cell keratinising squamous carcinoma, the intra- and inte
rpathologist frequencies of confirmation were only 81% and 71%, respectivel
y. The pathologist marked the picture as typical and his subtype diagnosis
as certain 41% of times: even then confirmation frequencies were only 88% a
nd 74%, respectively. Calculations, including kappa analyses, suggest that
26% of the typing variation was noise. The WHO scheme must be even more unr
eliable in everyday practice. We finally mention a recently demonstrated li
nk between human papilloma virus (HPV) and certain types of anal cancer, wh
ich may well provide an additional argument for revising existing subtyping
schemes.