The effects on mortality of cognitive impairment and 3-year declines in cog
nitive function were examined among community-dwelling adults aged 68 years
or more. Data were taken from a population-based cohort study that enrolle
d noninstitutionalized elderly residents of New Haven, Connecticut, and fol
lowed them by conducting in-home interviews in 1982, 1985, 1988, and 1994.
The cognitive function of 1,997 respondents was assessed by using the 30-po
int Mini-Mental State Examination in 1985; 1,372 respondents (86% of those
alive) were retested in 1988. Responses were classified as high normal (28-
30), low normal (24-27), mild impairment (18-23), or severe impairment(0-17
); cognitive decline was defined as a transition to a lower category. After
control for multiple potential confounders, both severe and mild cognitive
impairment were strongly predictive of subsequent mortality among responde
nts aged less than 80 years. Upon closer examination, the elevated mortalit
y risk was observed primarily among respondents whose cognitive decline was
recent rather than among those whose cognitive performance was compromised
but stable. Among respondents aged 80 years or more, declines to severe co
gnitive impairment were predictive of mortality. but it: was not clear whet
her the decline per se signaled an unfavorable prognosis not accounted for
by the resulting impairment level. Cognitive declines, especially those in
the young elderly, have a marked adverse impact on survival.