New technology for the treatment of end-stage renal disease will need to be
pharmacoeconomically persuasive in reducing the life-cost of treatment to
obtain entry into the market. increased automation, with closed-loop sensin
g technology, will occur in the near term. Clearance-based terminology for
quantifying performance of equipment will give way to direct quantification
of toxin removal. Experiments on the frequency and duration of treatment w
ill redefine what is considered to be adequate therapy in terms other than
simple urea removal, Near-term changes in current vascular access technolog
y will be driven by the current cost of access failure. Automated peritonea
l dialysis will displace continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis, and onl
ine compounding of solution for use is likely for both hemodialysis and per
itoneal dialysis, In a longer time frame these technologies will merge. Xen
ografting from the pig will be a reality, and gene therapy of the mesotheli
um will provide a more user-friendly therapy for end-stage renal disease. (
C) 2000 by the National Kidney Foundation, Inc.