This paper describes the prediction of molecular orientation and fractional
crystallinity in polymer products formed by deformation processes. The cal
culations are carried out for poly(ethylene terephthalate) articles such as
film and stretch-blow moulded bottles formed just above the glass transiti
on temperature. They are based on the interpretation of realtime X-ray diff
raction patterns obtained during and after drawing at speeds comparable wit
h industrial processing(1), where crystallization occurs only after drawing
has ceased. A parametric study reproduces trends observed in many experime
ntal uniaxial draw studies, such as the increase in orientation and crystal
linity with draw ratio, draw rate and decreasing temperature. The study als
o demonstrates the increase of crystallinity from annealing or less rapid c
ooling from the draw temperature. The prediction method has also been appli
ed to the first draw stage of a biaxial film line, where temperature variat
ions through the thickness and in the machine direction lead to orientation
and crystallinity non-uniformity through the thickness. The predicted aver
age crystallinity is in good agreement with experimental measurements for a
range of process conditions.