During two years of natural weathering the course of the moisture content o
f test samples of pine sap wood (Pinus sylvestris L.), Norway spruce (Picea
abies L.), oak heartwood (Quercus robur L.) and Douglas fir heartwood (Pse
udotsuga menziesii France.) was recorded by means of 12,000 individual grav
imetric readings. The samples were untreated, treated with a weather protec
tion varnish, or impregnated with melamine resin. The data were evaluated w
ith regard to the number of days per year on which the moisture content of
wood exceeded the limit of 25 %. From the results of subsequent laboratory
investigations into the adsorption of liquid water and moisture vapour deso
rption using the same test material, it was possible to work out a mathemat
ical relationship (MRI = moisture induced risk index) which correlates clos
ely with the number of days of more than 25 % moisture content during the s
econd year of natural weathering. The MRI is proposed as a parameter for th
e assessment of the protective effect of wood treatments which are intended
to reduce moisture content and also for durability prediction of untreated
wood in out of ground contact situations.