The improved life expectancy of people with Down's syndrome as a result of
the greater availability of surgery and advances in medical care has been w
idely documented. However, there has been no evaluation of survival in the
Australian Down's syndrome population since the 1980s. This study aimed to
evaluate the changes in survival from birth in cases of Down's syndrome not
ified to the Birth Defects Registry in Western Australia. Babies born with
Down's syndrome between 1980 and 1996 (inclusive) and registered with the B
irth Defects Registry were studied. Survival status was obtained in several
ways. Cases were stratified into three cohorts for comparison. Survival cu
rves were constructed using the methods of Kaplan and Meier. For infants bo
rn during 1980-96, survival to 1 year is now > 91%, and 85% can expect to s
urvive until the age of 10 years. Although survival in those with heart dis
ease showed improvement over the period studied, overall this was still a s
trong predictor of mortality. Survival in Aboriginal children with Down's s
yndrome was significantly poorer than in non-Aboriginal children, mirroring
the pattern in the general population. Mortality was greater in females an
d in those with a low birthweight. There was no statistically significant d
ifference in the survival between those born in metropolitan and in rural a
reas.
There has been a considerable improvement in survival of infants born with
Down's syndrome in Western Australia. This improvement is similar to findin
gs in recent international studies. The difference in survival between Abor
iginal and non-Aboriginal children is particularly disturbing. These findin
gs are useful for both clinicians and families who need to plan for the lon
g-term care of these children.