Sociology presents diagnoses of our time in ever new abundance: postmoderni
ty, second modernity, world society, individualization, etc. This indulgenc
e in producing diagnoses of our rime stands in sharp contrast to the discip
line's poor capacity For predicting important events and upheavals that occ
urred in the past. The article takes Ulrich Beck's thesis of a 'second mode
rnity' to illustrate how to deal with such a diagnosis that leads to rather
compact predictions.
The theorem of 'second modernity' is reduced to scientifically workable cor
e theses about which reasonable statements can be made. Beck argues that pr
esent-day problems, especially ecological problems, fall through the grid o
f the existing differentiated institutions and rationalities and that a syn
thesis or a mix of rationalities is required in order to cope with the over
lapping problems that don't st into the differentiation. The article doubts
that a 'second modernity' is rising and that a mix of rationalities is nee
ded. For this we have to distinguish between rationalities and institutions
.