p53 tumor suppressor gene mutations predict decreased survival of patientswith sporadic colorectal carcinoma

BACKGROUND. Mutations of the p53 tumor suppressor gene play an integral rol e in sporadic colorectal carcinogenesis but prior studies have failed to sh ow their prognostic significance consistently. METHODS, Fifty-six consecutive sporadic colorectal tumors were analyzed for their p53 status. Polymerase chain reaction amplification with primers for exons 5-9 was conducted and these products were subjected to single strand conformation polymorphism analysis. Suspected mutations were confirmed wit h DNA sequencing. p53 status was entered into a colorectal clinical databas e and these patients then were followed prospectively. Patient status with regard to disease recurrence and survival was updated every 6 months. Survi val and disease free survival were calculated according to the method of Ka plan and Meier. The association between p53 status and clinical and patholo gic factors with survival and recurrence was statistically determined using univariate analysis and the Cox proportional hazards model for multivariat e analysis. RESULTS. p53 mutations were detected in 28 of 56 patients (50%). The median follow-up time was 45 months (range, 3-72 months). There were 33 patients (59%) who were alive at last follow-up. Fifteen of the 23 patients who died (65%) had p53 mutations and 8 (35%) had wild-type p53. Thirteen patients d eveloped a disease recurrence, 9 of whom (69%) had tumors with p53 mutation s. Overall 4-year survival rates for patients with wild-type p53 and mutant p53 were 71% and 54%, respectively (P = 0.05). The 4-year disease free sur vival rates for patients with wild-type p53 and mutant p53 were 83% and 62% , respectively (P = 0.09). p53 status and stage were found to be independen t significant predictors for survival (p53 negative: P = 0.02; stage: P = 0 .0002.) Stage was found to be the sole significant predictor for disease fr ee survival (P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS. In this group of colorectal carcinoma patients, p53 mutations were a significant negative prognostic indicator for overall survival. This finding holds prognostic and therapeutic implications for the management o f colorectal carcinoma patients. Cancer 2000;88:1814-9. (C) 2000 American C ancer Society.