This paper emphasizes the established need for a stress based kiln control
system. It refers to 1) the work which verified that the initial shrinkage
rate changes within a board are the result of reduced stress levels and 2)
the new statistical method short/long-term slope comparison method used to
detect slope changes. The paper continues by giving the explanation for the
additional shrinkage slope changes as the equilibrium moisture content cha
nges during fan reversal and kiln schedule advancements. The kiln schedule
advancements can cause both shrinkage and swelling. Reduced drying rate res
ulting in reduced shrinkage rate explains other changes. A stress based aut
omated kiln control system is conceptually possible with 1) shrinkage rate
changes understood and 2) a production useful statistical method to detect
these changes.