This paper estimates short- and long-run marginal production costs and retu
rns to scale in electric power generation in the United States. We find sub
stantial short-run diseconomies of scale at high output levels. A relativel
y large number of small and mid-sized firms have optimal capital stocks bel
ow actual levels. In contrast, several large firms have optimal capital sto
cks targets substantially above current levels. These disparities in actual
and optimal capital suggest a possible consolidation in the industry.