T. Ericsson, The effect of pedigree error by misidentification of individual trees on genetic evaluation of a full-sib experiment, SILVAE GEN, 48(5), 1999, pp. 239-242
A simulation based on real data shows how increasing rates of individual tr
ee misidentification result in increasing underestimation of additive genet
ic variance and narrow-sense heritability as well as increasing overestimat
ion of the dominance variance. The data used came from a Pinus sylvestris L
. progeny trial with 202 full-sib families from 52 unrelated parents at abo
ut one-third of the rotation. When 1% of 4970 individual trees were misiden
tified, the estimates of additive variance and heritability decreased by an
order of magnitude that corresponded to the standard errors. The estimate
of dominance variance approached that of additive variance when the error r
ate increased to 2%, after which further misidentification made the estimat
es diverge beyond the expected parameter space of the genetic model. The er
ror effect was less pronounced when selecting the best parents using approx
imate best linear unbiased predictors, but their predicted performance was
increasingly underestimated as the error rate increased.