A natural attenuation model that simulates the aerobic and anaerobic biodeg
radation of fuel hydrocarbons was developed. The resulting model, BIOPLUME
III, demonstrates the importance of biodegradation in reducing contaminant
concentrations in ground water. In hypothetical simulations, aerobic biodeg
radation limited further plume expansion and accounted for approximately 30
% of the overall contaminant reduction. Anaerobic biodegradation, in compar
ison, accounted for more than 65% of the mass loss and concentration declin
es and caused a shrinking of plume dimensions through time. Application of
the model to Site ST-29 at Patrick Air Force Base demonstrated the viabilit
y of natural attenuation as a remedy for the existing fuel hydrocarbon plum
e at the site. Model simulations indicated that a stable plume will be esta
blished within 30-40 years and that the plume extent will likely stabilize
to <170 m (500 ft) downgradient from the source area.