Nitrogen from the Mississippi River Basin is believed to be at least partly
responsible for the large zone of oxygen-depleted water that develops in t
he Gulf of Mexico each summer. Historical data show that concentrations of
nitrate in the Mississippi River and some of its tributaries have increased
by factors of 2 to more than 5 since the early 1900s, We have used the his
torical streamflow and concentration data in regression models to estimate
the annual flux of nitrogen (N) to the Gulf of Mexico and to determine wher
e the nitrogen originates within the Mississippi Basin, Results show that f
ur 1980-1996 the mean annual total N flux to the Gulf of Mexico was 1 568 0
00 t/year. The flux was approximately 61% nitrate as N, 37% organic N, and
2% ammonium as N. The flux of nitrate to the Gulf has approximately tripled
in the last 30 years with most of the increase occurring between 1970 and
1983. The mean annual N flux has changed little since the early 1980s, but
large year-to-year variations in N flux occur because of variations in prec
ipitation. During wet years the N flux can increase by 50% or more due to h
ushing of nitrate that has accumulated in the soils and unsaturated zones i
n the basin. The principal source areas of N are basins in southern Minneso
ta, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, and ohio that drain agricultural land. Basins
in this region yield 800 to more than 3100 kg total N/km(2) per year to str
eams, several times the N yield of basins outside this region. Assuming con
servative transport of N in the Mississippi River, streams draining Iowa an
d Illinois contribute on average approximately 35% of the total N discharge
d by the Mississippi River to the Gulf of Mexico. In years with high precip
itation they can contribute a larger percentage. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science
B.V. All rights reserved.