This abstract asks how the demise of the federal "entitlement" to welfare w
ill affect how low-income single mothers will be governed. Historical-insti
tutional analysis is used to predict how the states, given their regained a
uthority, are likely to define eligibility and procedural rules for welfare
. These expectations are tested by analyzing the new state plans for the ad
ministration of the Temporary Assistance to Needy Families block grant prog
ram. Indices of eligibility rules and procedural rules are created and comb
ined in a typology that depicts the new varieties of welfare governance pla
nned by the states. The central argument is that as historical precedents w
ould imply, the decentralization of authority for welfare is promoting the
development of forms of welfare governance that vary dramatically from stat
e to state, and which tend, predominantly, toward restrictive and coercive
forms of rule. These developments mean that the obligations of poor women a
re being emphasized over their access to social provision.