Likelihood-based inference with singular information matrix

Citation
A. Rotnitzky et al., Likelihood-based inference with singular information matrix, BERNOULLI, 6(2), 2000, pp. 243-284
Citations number
29
Categorie Soggetti
Mathematics
Journal title
BERNOULLI
ISSN journal
13507265 → ACNP
Volume
6
Issue
2
Year of publication
2000
Pages
243 - 284
Database
ISI
SICI code
1350-7265(200004)6:2<243:LIWSIM>2.0.ZU;2-Z
Abstract
We consider likelihood-based asymptotic inference for a p-dimensional param eter theta of an identifiable parametric model with singular information ma trix of rank p - 1 at theta=theta* and likelihood differentiable up to a sp ecific order. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistics for the simple null hypothesis that theta = theta* and of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of theta when theta = theta*. We sho w that there exists a reparametrization such that the MLE of the last p - 1 components of theta converges at rate O-p(n(-1/2)). For the first componen t theta(1) of theta the rate of convergence depends on the order s of the f irst non-zero partial derivative of the log-likelihood with respect to thet a(1) evaluated at theta*, When s is odd the rate of convergence of the MLE of theta(1) is O-p(n(-1/2s)). When s is even, the rate of convergence of th e MLE of \theta(1)- theta(1)*\ is O-p(n(-1/2s)) and moreover, the asymptoti c distribution of the sign of the MLE of theta(1) - theta(1)* is non-standa rd. When p = 1 it is determined by the sign of the sum of the residuals fro m the population least-squares regression of the (s + l)th derivative of th e individual contributions to the log-likelihood on their derivatives of or der s. For p>1, it is determined by a linear combination of the sum of resi duals of a multivariate population least-squares regression involving parti al and mixed derivatives of the log-likelihood of a specific order. Thus al though the MLE of \theta(1) - theta(1)*\ has a uniform rate of convergence of O-p(n(-1/2s)), the uniform convergence rate for the MLE of theta(1) in s uitable shrinking neighbourhoods of theta(1)* is only O-p(n(-1/(2s+2))).