Although rates of adult-onset diabetes mellitus increase with increasing ob
esity, there is little evidence that weight loss in overweight individuals
can reduce their risk of developing diabetes. Using data from the Framingha
m Study, we examined the effects of sustained and nonsustained weight loss
on risk of diabetes mellitus among 618 overweight (body mass index greater
than or equal to 27) subjects 30-50 years of age. To separate sustained fro
m nonsustained weight loss, we examined weight change in two consecutive 8-
year periods. Subjects who had stable weight (+/1 lb per year) during both
periods served as the referent group for all analyses. Sustained weight los
s led to a 37% lower risk of diabetes [relative risk (RR) = 0.63; 95% confi
dence interval = 0.34-1.2], and this effect was stronger for more obese (bo
dy mass index greater than or equal to 29) subjects (RR = 0.38; 95% confide
nce interval = 0.18-0.81). Those who lost 8.1-25 lb had a 33% reduction in
diabetes risk, whereas those losing more had a 51% reduction in risk. Regar
dless of the amount of weight lost, those who regained the lost weight had
no reduction in diabetes risk (RR = 1.1 and 1.2 for those who lost 8.1-15 a
nd >15 Ib, respectively). We conclude that a modest amount of sustained wei
ght loss can substantially reduce the risk of diabetes mellitus in overweig
ht individuals.