Empirical data regarding the time scales of nutrient losses from soil to wa
ter and land to sea were reviewed. The appearance of strongly elevated conc
entrations of nitrogen and phosphorus in major European rivers was found to
be primarily a post-war phenomenon. However. the relatively rapid water qu
ality response to increased point source emissions and intensified agricult
ure does not imply that the reaction to decreased emissions will be equally
rapid. Long-term fertilisation experiments have shown that important proce
sses in the large-scale turnover of nitrogen operate on a time scale of dec
ades up to at least a century, and in several major Eastern European rivers
there is a remarkable lack of response to the dramatic decrease in the use
of commercial fertilisers that started in the late 1980s. In Western Europ
e, studies of decreased phosphorus emissions have shown that riverine loads
of this element can be rapidly reduced from high to moderate levels, where
as a further reduction, if achieved at all, may take decades. Together, the
reviewed studies showed that the inertia of the systems that control the l
oss of nutrients from land to sea was underestimated when the present goal
of a 50% reduction of the input of nutrients to the Baltic Sea and the Nort
h Sea was adopted. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.