Rj. Delahay et al., The spatio-temporal distribution of Mycobacterium bovis (bovine tuberculosis) infection in a high-density badger population, J ANIM ECOL, 69(3), 2000, pp. 428-441
1. The European badger (Meles meles) is implicated as a reservoir of Mycoba
cterium bovis (bovine TB) infection for cattle in Britain and Ireland. In t
he present study the spatio-temporal distribution of M. bovis infection was
investigated. Analyses were carried out on data from a long-term epidemiol
ogical and ecological study of the dynamics of bovine TB in a wild populati
on of badgers at Woodchester Park in south-west England.
2. During the 15 years of the capture-mark-recapture study (1982-96), 3316
trapping and post-mortem records were obtained from 1270 individual badgers
. Annual prevalence of infection based on positive serological and bacteria
l tests varies between 10.3% and 17.7% of the population.
3. Infection was aggregated in social groups in the west of the study area,
confirming the findings of previous studies. However, temporal trends in d
isease were not synchronized amongst neighbouring groups, suggesting low ra
tes of disease transfer between them.
4. There was significant serial correlation in the disease status within gr
oups over time, suggesting that infection persists for many years in some s
ocial groups. The presence of infectious adult female badgers in groups was
associated with new infections, and provides further evidence for their im
portance in the maintenance of infection within groups. However, no statist
ically significant correlations were detected between the demographic chara
cteristics of social groups and group infection status.
5. The distribution of disease reflects stable persistent foci of infection
in the badger population, with limited evidence of transfer between social
groups. The accurate identification of stable foci of infection would allo
w a range of management strategies for the control of bovine TB to be effic
iently targeted in such populations. However, the extent to which this patt
ern of infection is representative of low-density and disturbed badger popu
lations is unknown.