The ultimate limitations of the balance, slow-manifold, and potential vorti
city inversion concepts are investigated. These limitations are associated
with the weak but nonvanishing spontaneous-adjustment emission, dr Lighthil
l radiation, of inertia-gravity waves by unsteady, two-dimensional or layer
wise-two-dimensional vortical flow (the wave emission mechanism sometimes b
eing called "geostrophic" adjustment even though it need not take the flow
toward geostrophic balance). Spontaneous-adjustment emission is studied in
detail for the case of unbounded f-plane shallow-water flow, in which the p
otential vorticity anomalies are confined to a finite-sized region, but who
se distribution within the region is otherwise completely general. The appr
oach assumes that the Froude number F and Rossby number R satisfy F much le
ss than 1 and R greater than or equal to 1 (implying, incidentally, that an
y balance would have to include gradient wind and other ageostrophic contri
butions). The method of matched asymptotic expansions is used to obtain a g
eneral mathematical description of spontaneous-adjustment emission in this
parameter regime. Expansions are carried out to O(F-4), which is a high eno
ugh order to describe not only the weakly emitted waves but also, explicitl
y, the correspondingly weak radiation reaction upon the vortical Row, accou
nting for the loss of vortical energy. Exact evolution on a slow manifold,
in its usual strict sense, would be incompatible with the arrow of time int
roduced by this radiation reaction and energy loss. The magnitude O(F-4) of
the radiation reaction may thus be taken to measure the degree of "fuzzine
ss" of the entity that must exist in place of the strict slow manifold. Tha
t entity must, presumably, be not a simple invariant manifold, but rather a
n O(F-4)-thin, multileaved, fractal "stochastic layer" like those known for
analogous but low-order coupled oscillator systems. It could more appropri
ately be called the "slow quasimanifold."