OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to evaluate women without gestational diabetes m
ellitus in an index pregnancy for the likelihood that gestational diabetes
would develop and for risk factors for carbohydrate intolerance in a subseq
uent pregnancy.
STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective review of medical records at a teaching hospi
tal universally screening for gestational diabetes identified multiparous w
omen who had been delivered twice between 1994 and 1997 and who, in the fir
st (index) pregnancy, had had a normal result on a screening test with 50 g
of glucose used in a "glucola" beverage (less than or equal to 140 mg/dL).
RESULTS: In this population with normal glucose screening values in the ind
ex pregnancy, 352 (92.4%) of 381 women had at least one risk factor for ges
tational diabetes. However, none of the 381 women had gestational diabetes
in the subsequent pregnancy (0/381, 95% confidence interval less than or eq
ual to 1%), including 45 (12.4%) who had an abnormal result on the 50-g glu
cose screening test. Regression analysis showed this test result in the ind
ex pregnancy (P = .001) to be the only studied variable significantly assoc
iated with the 50-g glucose value in the subsequent pregnancy.
CONCLUSION: Despite a high rate of risk factors for gestational diabetes, w
omen in our population with a normal glucose value in an index pregnancy ha
ve a minimal risk (<1%) that gestational diabetes will develop in a subsequ
ent singleton pregnancy within 4 years. This factor may be included in dete
rmining whether women should undergo screening for gestational diabetes.