A seismic survey of southern Jervis Bay (NSW, Australia) carried out in the
late 1960s resulted in 11 bare circular areas, or 'holes', within an other
wise continuous Posidonia australis seagrass meadow. The area of these hole
s were mapped using a series of historical aerial photographs, to determine
horizontal spreading rates and to estimate recovery times for P. australis
. Between the years 1972 and 1997 the total area occupied by the 11 holes d
ecreased by 56%, from 7606 to 3307 m(2), due to the spread of P. australis
rhizomes from the surrounding bed. Recovery was slow but consistent, althou
gh further damage to some bare areas was evident between 1981 and 1989. Spr
eading rates varied between time periods and between holes, ranging from ne
gative estimates during the period of damage, to a maximum rate of 58 cm pe
r year. Mean spreading rate (+/-SE) estimated for the 11 holes over the 25-
year period was 21(+/-2)cm per year. Assuming that this mean rate of spread
ing continues and that there is no further damage to the holes, we estimate
that the holes should be completely revegetated at various times over the
next century, the earliest being 2034 and the latest 2071. (C) 2000 Elsevie
r Science B.V. All rights reserved.