Mn. Shin et al., Risk factors for leukoplakia and malignant transformation to oral carcinoma: a leukoplakia cohort in Taiwan, BR J CANC, 82(11), 2000, pp. 1871-1874
The effects of betel nut chewing, smoking and alcohol on the occurrence of
leukoplakia and its malignant transformation to oral carcinoma were quantif
ied in a leukoplakia cohort (n = 435) from one medical centre between 1988
and 1998 in Taiwan. Sixty oral carcinomas were ascertained in this cohort.
A case-control study within the leukoplakia cohort was used to study, risk
factors. Using the Weibull survival model, the incidence of malignant trans
formation of leukoplakia was shown to increase with follow-up years. After
adjustment for other relevant risk factors, betel nut chewing (adjusted odd
s ratio (OR) = 4.59; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-16.86) remained a si
gnificant risk factor for malignant transformation. Results from the case-c
ontrol study showed that the adjusted odds ratios for betel nut chewing and
smoking on the occurrence of leukoplakia were 17.43 (95% CI 1.94-156.27) a
nd 3.22 (95% CI 1.06-9.78), respectively. Similar findings were observed wh
en daily frequency and duration were taken into account. This implies that
cessation of smoking may reduce by 36% leukoplakia cases, while elimination
of betel nuts may prevent 62% of leukoplakia and 26% of malignant transfor
mation to oral carcinoma in the underlying population. (C) 2000 Cancer Rese
arch Campaign.