In this paper we describe a probabilistic model for the design of transmiss
ion line systems for local high-intensity winds of the downburst type, usua
lly associated with thunderstorms. The downburst damage 'footprint' has bee
n assumed to be roughly rectangular in shape, and the transmission line as
a line 'target'. With a number of other assumptions, a practical model for
estimating the risk of a strike of damaging downburst on a line of specifie
d length and orientation has been developed, and applied to high-voltage li
nes in Australia. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.