Several recent studies have successfully applied diatom-based paleolimnolog
ical techniques to infer past hydrological changes in arctic and subarctic
regions. For example, we summarize arctic studies that attempt to determine
changes in peat water content, flood frequency, river discharge, effective
moisture and ice cover in northern regions. Some of the investigations are
still in preliminary stages, but represent innovative approaches to study
arctic and subarctic paleohydrology. New data demonstrate that lake depth,
which may be related to changing hydrological conditions, is a significant
variable influencing the distributions of diatom taxa in lake surface sedim
ent calibration sets from Wood Buffalo National Park (WBNP), on the border
of Alberta and the Northwest Territories, Canada, and from Fennoscandia (ma
inly northwest Finland). Weighted averaging regression and calibration meth
ods were used to develop quantitative inference models for lake depth using
diatom assemblages preserved in surface sediments. The predictive abilitie
s of the transfer functions were relatively high (for WBNP r(2) = 0.70 and
RMSE = 2.6 m, and for Fennoscandia r(2) = 0.88 and RMSE = 1.8 m). However,
evaluating the transfer functions using jack-knifing procedures indicated l
ower predictive abilities, possibly reflecting the relatively small sample
size and/or short gradients used in these calibration sets. Such transfer f
unctions can be used to track overall trends in lake levels, and provide an
objective assessment as to directions of changing lake levels. Any interpr
etations of inferred lake levels, especially those related to climate chang
e, must be made cautiously and must include some understanding of the local
, present-day hydrological system.