In this paper, a shot-line model that describes the process of air-defence
warhead explosion and the fragment dispersion was developed, in which natur
al fragment warheads, controlled fragment warheads, performed fragment warh
eads, multi-P-charge warheads. fragment focusing warheads and continuous ro
d warheads were included. The shot-line model is applied to both static and
real dynamic conditions. The air drag and the fragment tumbling that influ
ences the impact velocity and the ballistic deviation of the fragment and t
he penetration prediction in the terminal effectiveness analysis were consi
dered.