Studies were conducted to develop a model from field and laboratory studies
to predict the emergence phenology of Chenopodium album. A mechanistic mod
el to predict the phenology of weed seedling emergence across locations, ye
ars, and tillage systems is presented. This was accomplished by the integra
tion of hydrothermal time to describe germination and thermal time to descr
ibe shoot elongation. The interaction of soil moisture and temperature in t
he model was accounted for by the integration of hydrothermal time in algor
ithms predicting seed germination. Soil temperatures within the weed seed g
ermination zone were predicted by temperature ranges at different depths in
the soil. Emergence phenology of C. album seedlings was predicted with gre
ater accuracy under no-till and moldboard plow systems than under a chisel
plow system. We attributed this lower accuracy in the chisel plow system to
increased heterogeneity in the soil matrix and vertical distribution of th
e seedbank caused by the chisel plow The presence or absence of Zea mays di
d not affect model performance. The use of soil temperature to calculate th
ermal time was a better predictor of C. album seedling emergence than air t
emperature. The ability to predict weed seedling emergence phenology is an
important component of an integrated weed management strategy.